Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 14 December 2017.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 17 49 41 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
2 Man United 17 38 26 L 1-3  Prediction Forecast
3 Chelsea 17 35 17 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
4 Tottenham 17 31 16 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
5 Liverpool 17 31 14 Forecast L 0-4  Prediction
6 Burnley 17 31 4 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
7 Arsenal 17 30 10
8 Leicester 17 26 4 W 4-3  Prediction Forecast
9 Watford 17 22 -3 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
10 Everton 17 22 -8 Forecast W 5-2  Prediction
11 Southampton 17 18 -6 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
12 Huddersfield 17 18 -17 W 5-0  Prediction Forecast
13 Brighton 17 17 -9 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
14 Bournemouth 17 16 -5 W 3-0  Prediction Forecast
15 Stoke 17 16 -17 Forecast L 0-1  Prediction
16 Newcastle 17 15 -10 Forecast Forecast
17 West Brom 17 14 -10 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
18 Crystal Palace 17 14 -16 Forecast Forecast
19 West Ham 17 14 -18 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
20 Swansea 17 12 -13 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.81 0.25 0.01
Bournemouth 0.38 -0.32 0.01
Brighton 0.02 0.18 0.09
Burnley 0.15 0.12 0.02
Chelsea 0.89 0.34 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.14 -0.08 0.01
Everton 0.49 0.12 0.01
Huddersfield -0.07 -0.21 0.08
Leicester 0.56 0.05 0.01
Liverpool 0.83 0.11 0.01
Man City 1.24 0.30 0.01
Man United 0.72 0.37 0.01
Newcastle 0.18 -0.21 0.08
Southampton 0.34 0.13 0.01
Stoke 0.21 -0.05 0.01
Swansea 0.21 -0.07 0.01
Tottenham 0.71 0.29 0.01
Watford 0.25 -0.04 0.03
West Brom 0.13 -0.07 0.01
West Ham 0.33 -0.10 0.01