Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 20 April 2019.

Arsenal - English Premier
Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 34 85 57 D 1-1  Prediction L 1-5  Prediction
2 Man City 33 83 64 L 0-2  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
3 Tottenham 33 67 30 W 4-2  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
4 Arsenal 33 66 26
5 Chelsea 34 66 21 W 2-0  Prediction L 2-3  Prediction
6 Man United 33 64 19 W 2-0  Prediction D 2-2  Prediction
7 Leicester 34 47 1 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
8 Wolves 33 47 -1 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
9 Everton 34 46 2 W 2-0  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
10 Watford 33 46 -1 W 2-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
11 West Ham 34 42 -10 W 3-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
12 Bournemouth 34 41 -12 W 5-1  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction
13 Crystal Palace 34 39 -6 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
14 Burnley 34 39 -18 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
15 Newcastle 34 38 -11 W 2-0  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction
16 Southampton 33 36 -15 W 2-0  Prediction L 2-3  Prediction
17 Brighton 33 33 -21 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
18 Cardiff 34 31 -33 W 2-1  Prediction W 3-2  Prediction
19 Fulham 34 20 -44 W 4-1  Prediction W 5-1  Prediction
20 Huddersfield 34 14 -48 W 1-0  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants
Home 1.15Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters
Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.90 0.17 0.01
Bournemouth 0.39 -0.41 0.01
Brighton 0.09 -0.05 0.02
Burnley 0.26 -0.00 0.01
Cardiff 0.06 -0.10 0.04
Chelsea 0.78 0.29 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.23 -0.04 0.01
Everton 0.43 0.12 0.01
Fulham 0.10 -0.72 0.03
Huddersfield -0.22 -0.32 0.02
Leicester 0.45 0.01 0.01
Liverpool 1.05 0.36 0.01
Man City 1.36 0.41 0.01
Man United 0.74 0.32 0.01
Newcastle 0.18 0.18 0.02
Southampton 0.32 0.02 0.01
Tottenham 0.83 0.35 0.01
Watford 0.27 -0.06 0.02
West Ham 0.35 -0.19 0.01
Wolves 0.31 0.00 0.04