Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 19 February 2019.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 27 65 54 L 0-2  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
2 Liverpool 26 65 44 D 1-1  Prediction L 1-5  Prediction
3 Tottenham 26 60 29 W 4-2  Prediction Forecast
4 Man United 26 51 17 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
5 Arsenal 26 50 16
6 Chelsea 26 50 16 W 2-0  Prediction L 2-3  Prediction
7 Wolves 26 39 1 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
8 Watford 26 37 0 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
9 Everton 27 33 -3 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
10 West Ham 26 33 -7 W 3-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
11 Bournemouth 26 33 -10 Forecast W 2-1  Prediction
12 Leicester 26 32 -3 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
13 Crystal Palace 26 27 -7 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
14 Brighton 26 27 -11 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
15 Burnley 26 27 -18 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
16 Newcastle 26 25 -12 Forecast W 2-1  Prediction
17 Cardiff 26 25 -23 W 2-1  Prediction W 3-2  Prediction
18 Southampton 26 24 -16 Forecast L 2-3  Prediction
19 Fulham 26 17 -33 W 4-1  Prediction W 5-1  Prediction
20 Huddersfield 26 11 -34 W 1-0  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.89 0.14 0.01
Bournemouth 0.41 -0.39 0.01
Brighton 0.14 -0.01 0.02
Burnley 0.21 0.04 0.02
Cardiff 0.10 -0.10 0.05
Chelsea 0.80 0.28 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.21 -0.03 0.01
Everton 0.43 0.09 0.01
Fulham 0.10 -0.72 0.05
Huddersfield -0.21 -0.26 0.02
Leicester 0.46 0.01 0.01
Liverpool 1.03 0.33 0.01
Man City 1.38 0.39 0.01
Man United 0.74 0.33 0.01
Newcastle 0.17 0.19 0.02
Southampton 0.31 0.02 0.01
Tottenham 0.84 0.36 0.01
Watford 0.24 -0.02 0.02
West Ham 0.35 -0.18 0.01
Wolves 0.36 -0.01 0.05