Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 15 October 2018.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 8 20 18 L 0-2  Prediction Forecast
2 Chelsea 8 20 13 Forecast L 2-3  Prediction
3 Liverpool 8 20 12 Forecast Forecast
4 Arsenal 8 18 9
5 Tottenham 8 18 8 Forecast Forecast
6 Bournemouth 8 16 4 Forecast Forecast
7 Wolves 8 15 3 Forecast Forecast
8 Man United 8 13 -1 Forecast Forecast
9 Watford 8 13 -1 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
10 Leicester 8 12 2 Forecast Forecast
11 Everton 8 12 1 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
12 Burnley 8 8 -2 Forecast Forecast
13 Brighton 8 8 -4 Forecast Forecast
14 Crystal Palace 8 7 -4 Forecast Forecast
15 West Ham 8 7 -5 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
16 Southampton 8 5 -8 Forecast Forecast
17 Fulham 8 5 -12 Forecast W 5-1  Prediction
18 Huddersfield 8 3 -13 Forecast Forecast
19 Newcastle 8 2 -7 Forecast W 2-1  Prediction
20 Cardiff 8 2 -13 Forecast W 3-2  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.87 0.18 0.01
Bournemouth 0.43 -0.37 0.01
Brighton 0.13 0.05 0.03
Burnley 0.17 0.10 0.02
Cardiff -0.13 -0.12 0.16
Chelsea 0.85 0.31 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.22 -0.05 0.01
Everton 0.47 0.09 0.01
Fulham 0.36 -0.60 0.16
Huddersfield -0.15 -0.16 0.03
Leicester 0.50 -0.03 0.01
Liverpool 0.96 0.26 0.01
Man City 1.30 0.36 0.01
Man United 0.71 0.34 0.01
Newcastle 0.19 0.16 0.03
Southampton 0.30 0.06 0.01
Tottenham 0.80 0.34 0.01
Watford 0.15 -0.05 0.02
West Ham 0.37 -0.16 0.01
Wolves 0.15 0.64 0.13