Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 23 June 2018.

Arsenal - English Premier
Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 38 100 79 L 0-3  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
2 Man United 38 81 40 L 1-3  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
3 Tottenham 38 77 38 W 2-0  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
4 Liverpool 38 75 46 D 3-3  Prediction L 0-4  Prediction
5 Chelsea 38 70 24 D 2-2  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
6 Arsenal 38 63 23
7 Burnley 38 54 -3 W 5-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
8 Everton 38 49 -14 W 5-1  Prediction W 5-2  Prediction
9 Leicester 38 47 -4 W 4-3  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
10 Newcastle 38 44 -8 W 1-0  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
11 Crystal Palace 38 44 -10 W 4-1  Prediction W 3-2  Prediction
12 Bournemouth 38 44 -16 W 3-0  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
13 West Ham 38 42 -20 W 4-1  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
14 Watford 38 41 -20 W 3-0  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
15 Brighton 38 40 -20 W 2-0  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
16 Huddersfield 38 37 -30 W 5-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
17 Southampton 38 36 -19 W 3-2  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
18 Swansea 38 33 -28 W 2-1  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
19 Stoke 38 33 -33 W 3-0  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
20 West Brom 38 31 -25 W 2-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants
Home 1.14Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters
Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.87 0.18 0.01
Bournemouth 0.42 -0.38 0.01
Brighton 0.10 0.07 0.04
Burnley 0.16 0.11 0.02
Chelsea 0.83 0.30 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.25 -0.05 0.01
Everton 0.46 0.10 0.01
Huddersfield -0.16 -0.00 0.04
Leicester 0.49 -0.02 0.01
Liverpool 0.96 0.18 0.01
Man City 1.31 0.34 0.01
Man United 0.70 0.38 0.01
Newcastle 0.24 0.18 0.03
Southampton 0.32 0.09 0.01
Stoke 0.17 -0.07 0.01
Swansea 0.19 -0.09 0.01
Tottenham 0.78 0.33 0.01
Watford 0.15 -0.08 0.02
West Brom 0.12 -0.08 0.01
West Ham 0.39 -0.16 0.01