Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 11 December 2018.

Arsenal - English Premier
Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 16 42 28 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
2 Man City 16 41 36 L 0-2  Prediction Forecast
3 Tottenham 16 36 14 W 4-2  Prediction Forecast
4 Chelsea 16 34 20 Forecast L 2-3  Prediction
5 Arsenal 16 34 15
6 Man United 16 26 2 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
7 Everton 15 23 4 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
8 Bournemouth 16 23 -1 Forecast W 2-1  Prediction
9 Leicester 16 22 1 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
10 Wolves 16 22 -2 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
11 West Ham 16 21 -2 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
12 Brighton 16 21 -3 Forecast Forecast
13 Watford 15 20 -3 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
14 Cardiff 16 14 -15 Forecast W 3-2  Prediction
15 Newcastle 16 13 -9 Forecast W 2-1  Prediction
16 Crystal Palace 16 12 -10 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
17 Burnley 16 12 -17 Forecast Forecast
18 Huddersfield 16 10 -17 W 1-0  Prediction Forecast
19 Southampton 16 9 -17 Forecast Forecast
20 Fulham 16 9 -24 Forecast W 5-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants
Home 1.14Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters
Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.89 0.17 0.01
Bournemouth 0.42 -0.37 0.01
Brighton 0.18 0.05 0.02
Burnley 0.15 0.01 0.02
Cardiff 0.10 -0.21 0.08
Chelsea 0.83 0.32 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.23 -0.06 0.01
Everton 0.46 0.11 0.01
Fulham 0.17 -0.80 0.08
Huddersfield -0.15 -0.13 0.02
Leicester 0.45 -0.01 0.01
Liverpool 1.00 0.30 0.01
Man City 1.34 0.38 0.01
Man United 0.72 0.33 0.01
Newcastle 0.18 0.16 0.03
Southampton 0.28 0.03 0.01
Tottenham 0.83 0.34 0.01
Watford 0.17 -0.04 0.02
West Ham 0.39 -0.19 0.01
Wolves 0.21 0.08 0.07