Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 20 September 2020.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Leicester 1 3 3 Forecast Forecast
2 Arsenal 1 3 3
3 Chelsea 1 3 2 Forecast Forecast
4 Wolves 1 3 2 Forecast Forecast
5 Newcastle 1 3 2 Forecast Forecast
6 Liverpool 1 3 1 Forecast Forecast
7 Crystal Palace 1 3 1 Forecast Forecast
8 Everton 1 3 1 Forecast Forecast
9 Leeds 1 0 -1 Forecast Forecast
10 Southampton 1 0 -1 Forecast Forecast
11 Tottenham 1 0 -1 Forecast Forecast
12 Brighton 1 0 -2 Forecast Forecast
13 West Ham 1 0 -2 Forecast Forecast
14 Sheffield United 1 0 -2 Forecast Forecast
15 West Brom 1 0 -3 Forecast Forecast
16 Fulham 1 0 -3 Forecast W 3-0  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.85 0.14 0.01
Brighton 0.13 -0.01 0.01
Chelsea 0.79 0.24 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.21 -0.01 0.01
Everton 0.43 0.10 0.00
Fulham 0.16 -0.55 0.55
Leeds 1.46 -0.75 0.55
Leicester 0.52 0.11 0.01
Liverpool 1.15 0.38 0.01
Newcastle 0.18 0.07 0.01
Sheffield United 0.13 0.36 0.03
Southampton 0.36 0.02 0.01
Tottenham 0.76 0.31 0.01
West Brom -0.04 -0.75 0.56
West Ham 0.38 -0.18 0.01
Wolves 0.41 0.29 0.01