Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 17 September 2019.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 5 15 11 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
2 Man City 5 10 10 Forecast Forecast
3 Tottenham 5 8 5 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
4 Man United 5 8 4 Forecast Forecast
5 Leicester 5 8 2 Forecast Forecast
6 Chelsea 5 8 0 Forecast Forecast
7 Arsenal 5 8 0
8 Bournemouth 5 7 -1 Forecast Forecast
9 West Ham 4 7 -1 Forecast Forecast
10 Southampton 5 7 -1 Forecast Forecast
11 Everton 5 7 -2 Forecast Forecast
12 Crystal Palace 5 7 -3 Forecast Forecast
13 Norwich 5 6 -3 Forecast Forecast
14 Burnley 5 5 -1 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
15 Sheffield United 5 5 -1 Forecast Forecast
16 Brighton 5 5 -3 Forecast Forecast
17 Newcastle 5 4 -4 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
18 Aston Villa 4 3 -2 Forecast Forecast
19 Wolves 5 3 -4 Forecast Forecast
20 Watford 5 2 -6 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.88 0.13 0.01
Aston Villa 0.38 0.02 0.23
Bournemouth 0.42 -0.43 0.01
Brighton 0.08 -0.04 0.02
Burnley 0.26 -0.01 0.01
Chelsea 0.77 0.27 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.27 -0.04 0.01
Everton 0.44 0.13 0.01
Leicester 0.46 0.07 0.01
Liverpool 1.11 0.37 0.01
Man City 1.36 0.42 0.01
Man United 0.71 0.30 0.01
Newcastle 0.20 0.16 0.02
Norwich 0.85 -0.62 0.19
Sheffield United 0.06 0.08 0.18
Southampton 0.32 -0.00 0.01
Tottenham 0.80 0.35 0.01
Watford 0.24 -0.13 0.01
West Ham 0.38 -0.14 0.01
Wolves 0.29 0.08 0.03