Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 26 June 2017.

Arsenal - English Premier
Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Chelsea 38 93 52 W 3-0  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
2 Tottenham 38 86 60 D 1-1  Prediction L 0-2  Prediction
3 Man City 38 78 41 D 2-2  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
4 Liverpool 38 76 36 L 3-4  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
5 Arsenal 38 75 33
6 Man United 38 69 25 W 2-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
7 Everton 38 61 18 W 3-1  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
8 Southampton 38 46 -7 W 2-1  Prediction W 2-0  Prediction
9 Bournemouth 38 46 -12 W 3-1  Prediction D 3-3  Prediction
10 West Brom 38 45 -8 W 1-0  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
11 West Ham 38 45 -17 W 3-0  Prediction W 5-1  Prediction
12 Leicester 38 44 -15 W 1-0  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
13 Stoke 38 44 -15 W 3-1  Prediction W 4-1  Prediction
14 Crystal Palace 38 41 -13 W 2-0  Prediction L 0-3  Prediction
15 Swansea 38 41 -25 W 3-2  Prediction W 4-0  Prediction
16 Burnley 38 40 -16 W 2-1  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
17 Watford 38 40 -28 L 1-2  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
18 Hull 38 34 -43 W 2-0  Prediction W 4-1  Prediction
19 Middlesbrough 38 28 -26 D 0-0  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction
20 Sunderland 38 24 -40 W 2-0  Prediction W 4-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants
Home 1.13Away 0.66

Current Team Parameters
Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.83 0.25 0.01
Bournemouth 0.44 -0.42 0.02
Burnley 0.15 -0.11 0.03
Chelsea 0.88 0.32 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.19 -0.05 0.01
Everton 0.51 0.14 0.01
Hull 0.06 -0.57 0.04
Leicester 0.54 0.07 0.01
Liverpool 0.81 0.10 0.01
Man City 1.13 0.27 0.01
Man United 0.68 0.33 0.01
Middlesbrough -0.21 -0.11 0.04
Southampton 0.36 0.13 0.01
Stoke 0.19 0.03 0.01
Sunderland 0.04 -0.21 0.01
Swansea 0.28 -0.08 0.01
Tottenham 0.71 0.27 0.01
Watford 0.05 -0.07 0.03
West Brom 0.15 -0.08 0.01
West Ham 0.38 -0.05 0.01