Results Model
The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence.
Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters.
Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 20 September 2020.
| Position | Team | Played | Points | Goal Diff | Home Result | Away Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leicester | 1 | 3 | 3 |  |
|
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 3 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Chelsea | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
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| 4 | Wolves | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
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| 5 | Newcastle | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
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| 6 | Liverpool | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
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| 7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
|
| 8 | Everton | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
|
| 9 | Leeds | 1 | 0 | -1 | |
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| 10 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | -1 | |
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| 11 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | -1 | |
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| 12 | Brighton | 1 | 0 | -2 | |
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| 13 | West Ham | 1 | 0 | -2 | |
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| 14 | Sheffield United | 1 | 0 | -2 | |
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| 15 | West Brom | 1 | 0 | -3 | |
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| 16 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | -3 | |
W 3-0  |
| Home | 1.14 | Away | 0.68 |
| Team | Attack | Defence | Variation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 0.85 | 0.14 | 0.01 |
| Brighton | 0.13 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| Chelsea | 0.79 | 0.24 | 0.01 |
| Crystal Palace | 0.21 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| Everton | 0.43 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Fulham | 0.16 | -0.55 | 0.55 |
| Leeds | 1.46 | -0.75 | 0.55 |
| Leicester | 0.52 | 0.11 | 0.01 |
| Liverpool | 1.15 | 0.38 | 0.01 |
| Newcastle | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.01 |
| Sheffield United | 0.13 | 0.36 | 0.03 |
| Southampton | 0.36 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Tottenham | 0.76 | 0.31 | 0.01 |
| West Brom | -0.04 | -0.75 | 0.56 |
| West Ham | 0.38 | -0.18 | 0.01 |
| Wolves | 0.41 | 0.29 | 0.01 |