Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 23 February 2020.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 26 76 46 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
2 Man City 26 54 38 L 0-3  Prediction Forecast
3 Leicester 26 50 28 Forecast L 0-2  Prediction
4 Chelsea 26 41 7 L 1-2  Prediction D 2-2  Prediction
5 Tottenham 26 40 9 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
6 Sheffield United 26 39 4 D 1-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
7 Man United 26 38 9 W 2-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
8 Wolves 26 36 3 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
9 Everton 26 36 -4 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
10 Arsenal 26 34 2
11 Burnley 26 34 -9 W 2-1  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
12 Southampton 26 31 -16 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
13 Newcastle 26 31 -16 W 4-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
14 Crystal Palace 26 30 -9 D 2-2  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
15 Brighton 26 27 -7 L 1-2  Prediction Forecast
16 Bournemouth 26 26 -14 W 1-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
17 Aston Villa 26 25 -16 W 3-2  Prediction Forecast
18 West Ham 26 24 -15 Forecast W 3-1  Prediction
19 Watford 26 24 -16 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
20 Norwich 26 18 -24 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.84 0.13 0.01
Aston Villa 0.37 -0.37 0.05
Bournemouth 0.36 -0.38 0.01
Brighton 0.14 -0.03 0.01
Burnley 0.27 -0.01 0.01
Chelsea 0.74 0.26 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.24 -0.01 0.01
Everton 0.45 0.11 0.01
Leicester 0.55 0.10 0.01
Liverpool 1.15 0.43 0.01
Man City 1.37 0.40 0.01
Man United 0.70 0.30 0.00
Newcastle 0.18 0.10 0.01
Norwich 0.09 -0.23 0.04
Sheffield United 0.20 0.53 0.04
Southampton 0.34 -0.01 0.01
Tottenham 0.78 0.31 0.01
Watford 0.21 -0.11 0.01
West Ham 0.37 -0.17 0.01
Wolves 0.38 0.20 0.02