Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 07 May 2021.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 34 80 47 L 0-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
2 Man United 33 67 29 D 0-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
3 Leicester 34 63 22 L 0-1  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
4 Chelsea 34 61 22 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
5 West Ham 34 58 11 W 2-1  Prediction D 3-3  Prediction
6 Tottenham 34 56 22 W 2-1  Prediction L 0-2  Prediction
7 Liverpool 33 54 16 L 0-3  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
8 Everton 33 52 3 L 0-1  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
9 Arsenal 34 49 9
10 Aston Villa 33 48 10 L 0-3  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
11 Leeds 34 47 -2 W 4-2  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
12 Wolves 34 42 -13 L 1-2  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
13 Crystal Palace 33 38 -22 D 0-0  Prediction Forecast
14 Brighton 34 37 -4 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
15 Southampton 33 37 -18 D 1-1  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
16 Burnley 34 36 -16 L 0-1  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
17 Newcastle 34 36 -20 W 3-0  Prediction W 2-0  Prediction
18 Fulham 34 27 -20 D 1-1  Prediction W 3-0  Prediction
19 West Brom 34 26 -34 Forecast W 4-0  Prediction
20 Sheffield United 34 17 -42 W 2-1  Prediction W 3-0  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.81 0.15 0.00
Aston Villa 0.37 0.02 0.02
Brighton 0.15 0.05 0.01
Burnley 0.22 0.02 0.01
Chelsea 0.77 0.28 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.18 -0.04 0.01
Everton 0.43 0.09 0.00
Fulham -0.06 0.11 0.04
Leeds 0.56 -0.09 0.05
Leicester 0.57 0.12 0.01
Liverpool 1.08 0.36 0.01
Man City 1.38 0.49 0.01
Man United 0.80 0.35 0.01
Newcastle 0.18 -0.01 0.01
Sheffield United -0.04 0.13 0.01
Southampton 0.35 -0.02 0.01
Tottenham 0.75 0.30 0.01
West Brom 0.10 -0.31 0.05
West Ham 0.47 -0.12 0.01
Wolves 0.33 0.24 0.01