Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 21 October 2021.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Chelsea 8 19 13 L 0-2  Prediction Forecast
2 Liverpool 8 18 16 Forecast Forecast
3 Man City 8 17 13 Forecast L 0-5  Prediction
4 Brighton 8 15 3 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
5 Tottenham 8 15 -3 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
6 Man United 8 14 6 Forecast Forecast
7 West Ham 8 14 5 Forecast Forecast
8 Everton 8 14 4 Forecast Forecast
9 Brentford 8 12 3 Forecast L 0-2  Prediction
10 Wolves 8 12 0 Forecast Forecast
11 Leicester 8 11 -1 Forecast Forecast
12 Arsenal 8 11 -5
13 Aston Villa 8 10 0 Forecast Forecast
14 Crystal Palace 8 8 -3 D 2-2Forecast Forecast
15 Southampton 8 7 -4 Forecast Forecast
16 Watford 8 7 -8 Forecast Forecast
17 Leeds 8 6 -8 Forecast Forecast
18 Burnley 8 3 -8 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
19 Newcastle 8 3 -9 Forecast Forecast
20 Norwich 8 2 -14 W 1-0  Prediction Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.80 0.15 0.00
Aston Villa 0.44 0.00 0.02
Brentford 0.47 0.40 0.15
Brighton 0.15 0.07 0.01
Burnley 0.20 0.01 0.01
Chelsea 0.79 0.31 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.20 -0.06 0.01
Everton 0.43 0.10 0.00
Leeds 0.52 -0.14 0.03
Leicester 0.59 0.10 0.01
Liverpool 1.11 0.37 0.01
Man City 1.38 0.49 0.01
Man United 0.81 0.33 0.01
Newcastle 0.20 -0.05 0.01
Norwich -0.41 -0.40 0.15
Southampton 0.34 -0.02 0.01
Tottenham 0.73 0.28 0.01
Watford 0.11 -0.14 0.19
West Ham 0.49 -0.10 0.01
Wolves 0.32 0.23 0.01